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Zeihan on Geopolitics· 67% accurate“If the United States blocks Persian Gulf crude exports to China, then within one year China will experience famine that kills about half of its population.”
- Probabilidad
- 90%"would guarantee the end of the People's Republic should there be a war"
- Categoría
- geopolitics
- Fecha límite
- May 21, 2027(implícita)351 días restantes
- Hecha el
- May 21, 2026
Contenido fuente
Is Now a Good Time for China to Invade Taiwan? || Peter Zeihan ↗Más de Zeihan on Geopolitics
“Ebola will spread to at least one town in the United States by 2026-12-31.”
50% "Ebola may be coming to a town near you"Dec 31, 2026(implied)210d leftJun 1, 2026
Pending
Zeihan on Geopolitics· 67% accurategeopolitics
“The Trump administration will undertake significantly more actions like the described self-settlement slush-fund arrangement in the United States by 2026-07-08.”
70% "We should expect significantly more things like this"Jul 8, 2026(implied)34d leftMay 27, 2026
Pending
Zeihan on Geopolitics· 67% accurategeopolitics
“In calendar year 2026, this drone and electronic-warfare technology will spread globally and drive major new developments across multiple conflict theaters.”
65% "we're about to have some crazy stuff happen in calendar year 2026"Dec 31, 2026(implied)210d leftMay 25, 2026
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