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Pending
The Persian Gulf will not be reopened to normal commercial shipping by U.S. naval escorts and will require a political agreement with Iran to reopen, by 2026-12-31.
Probabilidad
70%"The only way to open the Gulf is with a political solution with Tehran"
Categoría
geopolitics
Fecha límite
December 31, 2026(implícita)210 días restantes
Hecha el
May 13, 2026

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Ebola will spread to at least one town in the United States by 2026-12-31.

50% "Ebola may be coming to a town near you"Dec 31, 2026(implied)210d leftJun 1, 2026
Pending

The Trump administration will undertake significantly more actions like the described self-settlement slush-fund arrangement in the United States by 2026-07-08.

70% "We should expect significantly more things like this"Jul 8, 2026(implied)34d leftMay 27, 2026
Pending

In calendar year 2026, this drone and electronic-warfare technology will spread globally and drive major new developments across multiple conflict theaters.

65% "we're about to have some crazy stuff happen in calendar year 2026"Dec 31, 2026(implied)210d leftMay 25, 2026
Pending
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