PrediccionesFeedPredicción
Pending
Persian Gulf oil exports will not return to pre-war normal levels in 2026 and are probably not restored in 2027 either, even if a peace deal is reached.
Probabilidad
70%"That's not this year, and it's probably not next year, either."
Categoría
energy
Fecha límite
December 31, 2027(implícita)575 días restantes
Hecha el
April 27, 2026

Más de Zeihan on Geopolitics

Ebola will spread to at least one town in the United States by 2026-12-31.

50% "Ebola may be coming to a town near you"Dec 31, 2026(implied)210d leftJun 1, 2026
Pending

The Trump administration will undertake significantly more actions like the described self-settlement slush-fund arrangement in the United States by 2026-07-08.

70% "We should expect significantly more things like this"Jul 8, 2026(implied)34d leftMay 27, 2026
Pending

In calendar year 2026, this drone and electronic-warfare technology will spread globally and drive major new developments across multiple conflict theaters.

65% "we're about to have some crazy stuff happen in calendar year 2026"Dec 31, 2026(implied)210d leftMay 25, 2026
Pending
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