Pending
Made by
Stepan Demura· 83% accurate“If Israel uses nuclear weapons, Israel will cease to exist as a state and nation by December 2026.”
- Probability
- 50%"применение Израилем ядерного оружия будет означать конец Израиля и как государство, и как нации"
- Category
- geopolitics
- Deadline
- December 31, 2026(implied)211 days left
- Made on
- April 21, 2026
More from Stepan Demura
Stepan Demura· 83% accurategeopolitics
“The State Duma of the Russian Federation will pass the laws implementing the Russian Academy of Sciences reform by July 2026.”
50% "я думаю уже в скором времени уже Государственная Дума примет эти законы"Jul 8, 2026(implied)35d leftMay 27, 2026
Pending
Stepan Demura· 83% accurategeopolitics
“Ukraine’s current drone-related advantage on the фронт will fade by late June 2026.”
70% "Но это преимущество скоро иссякнет"Jun 25, 2026(implied)22d leftMay 14, 2026
Pending
Stepan Demura· 83% accurategeopolitics
“United States pressure on President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and his administration will intensify by late June 2026.”
70% "давление будет усиливаться"Jun 25, 2026(implied)22d leftMay 14, 2026
Pending
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