“A global jet fuel shortage will persist for months, with the most severe impacts in South Asia, Southeast Asia, Australasia, and Northeast Asia, through at least April 2027.”
- Probability
- 70%"we are looking at a monthslong shortage of jet fuel on a global basis"
- Category
- energy
- Deadline
- April 21, 2027(implied)322 days left
- Made on
- April 21, 2026
- Verified on
- April 25, 2026
Verification Analysis
What actually happened
Lufthansa cuts 20,000 summer flights as fuel prices surge
Reasoning
German airline Lufthansa will cut 20,000 European short-haul flights over the summer, saying soaring fuel prices have made many journeys "unprofitable" for the firm. Jet fuel has doubled in price since the start of the US-Israel war with Iran as the conflict has slowed its production and transportation across the Middle East.
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